Civic ForecastHubs

Conflict killed 2.9 of every 100,000 people worldwide (2025)

ACLED counted 241,586 deaths in political violence against a world population of 8.23 billion: one for every 34,073 people. Civic Forecast calculation from ACLED's 2025 Conflict Index and UN World Population Prospects via Our World in Data. ACLED counts only deaths confirmed in reporting, so the true figure is likely higher.

Induced by API Automations for Civic Forecast from federal open data. Each finding names the datasets it was computed from. How this is calculated.

Civic ForecastConflict2025